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| Fethullah Gülen |
a)WHAT IS GOING ON IN TURKEY?
Recently, there are too manyquestions waiting for answers in Turkey. Both in internal andexternal policies, Justice and Development Party (AKP) faces too manyproblems because of being exhausted after 10 years in power and mostpossibly, this timespan has hurt power relations within government.Moreover, Erdoğan's sickness and lack of alternative leadership inthe party reveals an emptiness within government. So, we have tounderstand the codes of the 'conflict' within the government.
ForTurkish people, stability of the government has always been the mainpolitical concern. AKP has gained a great success on this issuebecause of the powerful coallition lying behind it. But today, we cansee that this coallition has some differences within and thosedifferences in understanding of governance cause problems like itappeared in the issue of National Intelligence Agency (MIT). Today,MIT is being accused of collaboration with KCK (Which is assumed tobe city organisation of PKK [Kurdistan Workers Party]) and assemblyhas just passed a law that organizes the command chain between PrimeMinister and chief of MIT. The main reason lying behind this isactually a fight for power within the invisible coallition leadingTurkey. Judgement which is dependent on Gülen's political tendencieshave started an attack against MIT, in order to take it over sincethis is the only governmental organization Gülen movement hasn'tbeen able to capture yet.
FethullahGülen, who has been away from Turkey for more than a decade is theleader of Gülen Congregation which is defined as a political andeducational organization by Şahin Alpay (1) who is a politics expertand known with his sovereignity on Gülen Congregation. Thispolitical and educational organisation has a great importance inTurkey and it's assumed effect on general elections changes between10% and 20%. Statistics and past experiences reveal that, thepopulation that Congregation represents has a determining effect onelection results. Also, it is known that, their economicalorganisation is one of the determining forces especially in thecountrysides in Turkey.
Thereis another crisis going on in Turkey as well. There are some recordsof match-fixings and 7 teams might relegate at the end of the courtsgoing on. It is assumed that, this is another operation held by theGülen Congregation for reorganising this sector and designing a newadministration scheme. Fenerbahçe Board made too many announcementregarding this 'operation' made by Gülen Congregation. Thesestatements might be speculative. However, we have to state that Gülenmovement has some aims and these objectives are very major since theydo not wan't to miss the advantage of absolute power.
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| PKK Guerillas |
b)WAR, KURDS AND POLITICAL ORDER
Themain question must be why Gülen and his group became that aggressiveon these days. The reason lying behind is the War getting closer dayby day. While Essed government kills Syrian people, UN and NATOintervention is being expected by political organisations much morethese days. Moreover, NATO seems not to participate in a war byitself. Turkey, as the new 'powerful guy' of the Middle East ispreparing for its role to 'invade' Syrian fields for 'human rights'.A capitalist state is going to invade another for stoping theviolence with violence...
Thereare many articles on this issue. While some people are making callsfor NATO to intervene as soon as possible only a few of them don'tmake a selection between Essed and NATO. In Turkey, there are manyorganisations that will be effective in the process. However, themain actor right there is the Kurdish movement, and it is dividedwithin itself as well. Wladimir van Wilgenburg from Rudaw.net wroteon this issue and focused on some important points.
Wildenburgstates that there are many Kurdish opposition groups in Turkey whichare dependent on PKK and KDP. But there is a difference between theirunderstanding of the system in Syria. While PKK knows that any NATOintervention to Syria will probably make it come to the end becauseof war conditions and losing the support of Essed.
Wilgenburgstates that “PYDofficials claim they want the regime to fall -- but are opposed toforeign intervention, especially by Turkey. PKK generals said theywould fight any Turkish intervention in Syria. Meanwhile, the PKK istrying to use the power vacuum and unrest to build parallel stateinstitutions, which is what they tried to do in Turkey.” 2
WhatPKK does there is more sensible movement since PYD's way ofunderstanding things is not enough for analysing and handling what'sgoing on. It doesn't matter how 'politically correct' PKK or PYD is,what goes in Syria will be very critical but Wilgenburg's anotherstatement must be focused here: “Despite this (conflicts) , it isunlikely that there will be armed clashes between the KDP and PKK(though Turkey would enjoy it.) The Kurdish parties learned that thiswould hurt their own credibility among Kurds and also weaken them,which would only benefit their rivals.”
- What's Going to Happen Then?
As i mentioned above, in Turkey,people are addicted to 'stability'. AKP has been supported that muchfor their supplement of stability until this day. But any war AKPgets involved in will be hurting and damaging their high prestige inTurkey. Since the war means 'opportunity' for capital but crisis andhunger for the working class AKP will face a new crisis. They willhave to retell themselves to the lower classes and a possibleconflict going to occur from here may even cause them to lose in nextelections.
At the same time, Kurdishpopulation's more coordinated attitude will be able to create a newatmosphere there. While there is a conflict in 'power block', Kurdishpolitics may get benefit from this conflict. What's important here isto get a 'total agreement' on the war politics as Kurdish powergroups in the Middle East. It may seem difficult but it is notimpossible, especially right after Barzani's words aboutself-determination for nations.
In terms of reel-politics thingsare like that. But, the situation in Syria doesn't seem very goodfrom here since there is no difference between intervention norEssed, what's going to happen there is probably a longlasting waratmosphere that'll be used by capitalist powers in the region andaround Syria. What we can do right now is showing a third possibleway, but the problem is right there: What is the third way?
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